westmanguy westmanguy:
Canadaka Canadaka:
Just more proof Harper and the conservatives have no where to grow. With all the negative things the Liberals have had stacked up against them, real or percieved, the Conservatives still can't pull ahead and still can't break into the large Canadian cities.
Yes Vancouver Quadra was close, but the Liberals didn't loose the votes to the conservatives, it was mostly to the Greens. The real ones in trouble are the NDP, I see there number of MP's going down in a general election and possibly some green Mp's in ottawa for the first time.
On another note, wtf is neorhino.ca party, never hard of that before.
I disagree with your analysis. (Agree on the NDP though).
But honestly the Liberals lost Saskatchewan by a big margin, and *Quadra was supposed to be a Liberal Stronghold*, and it came to within 150 votes.
Thats huge, and that makes it a Tory moral victory in that riding.
Actually its Harper who should be concerned. Rural Saskatchewan was never ever a Liberal lock. That was just a myth cooked up by the cons to ensure that no matter what happened they could claim victory. By saying the Liberals were favourites in all the ridings they can shrug off losing all of them and claim "moral victory" if they win 1.
Churchill was only Liberal since 2006 but was conservative before that. Coupled with the higher levels of support from rural ridings for the CPC they were the likely party to win.
Harper is the person who needs to win support, especially in urban ridings but he isn't doing it at all. Against the weakest possible Liberal gov't in decades and with everything going for him he still can only manage a statistical tie. Alot of cons are asking themselves if they can actually win a majority under this guy just as much as the Liberals are asking if they can win with Dion.
What this by-election showed was that the NDP is losing support and the Liberals and greens are gaining. The greens are almost allied with the Libs and I think that if the NDP loses support they will be more amicable to a coalition with the Liberals leaving Harper out in the cold looking at the bloc for support.