The latest in the Nanos rolling poll is in. He's generally the most accurate when it comes to political polls in Canada.
$1:
The numbers in parenthesis denote the change from the previous Nanos Research Survey completed on September 19, 2008.
Question: If a FEDERAL election were held today, could you please rank your top two current local voting preferences? (First ranked reported)
Committed Voters - Canada (N=977, MoE ± 3.1%, 19 times out of 20)
Conservative Party 36% (-2)
Liberal Party 31% (+2)
NDP 20% (+2)
BQ 7% (NC)
Green Party 7% (NC)
Undecided 19% (+1)
The Conservatives have been trending down and the NDP and Liberals have been trending up. Either the gaffes are having an effect or the policies are. I suspect it's a little of both.
BTW, the undecideds are huge, so there could be a sudden movement either way if something really hits the public imagination. For instance, if Jack, Stephane, and Steve get caught having a three-way in a motel, then Steve is more likely to lose votes than than the other two.