BartSimpson BartSimpson:
EB, I just don't see Canadians being willing to buck up and spend the money on a decent Arctic military presence until after the Russians and the Chinese start bickering over whose sailors get to hit the bars in Churchill on Friday nights.
Well first off if you read the claims you'll note that both groups are only making claims for
international waters, whereas the US has actually made claims on Canadian territory.
You seem to think that they are being aggressive unless they acknowledge that the US and Canada have total claim to the entire arctic area including all international waters. Seems to me we are the ones being unreasonable. So far all China has said that the mineral rights belong to all based proportionally on population. Not a bad idea in my POV anyway.
You might also recall what Ziggy used to say about developing in that area after all he has spent most of his adult life doing that. Hazardous and very expensive. The profit margin basically eliminates any chance to include costs for a military presence and protecting any of the infrastructure would be next to impossible in the long run.
China knows this. Russia knows this and I think we know this too. It makes far more sense to agree to develop the region jointly. Share access and costs. Everybody will get resources and they'll get them much cheaper.
This dick measuring exercise will solve nothing. China isn't going to go to war over
the possibility of developing the Arctic. Why would they? They know full well Canada could depend on many allies to help us out (even if the US did not). They know full well Russia wouldn't allow this since they could suffer as well. Hell even if they pushed a military advantage what good would the resources do when they lose their largest markets, namely Canada and the US, as we outlawed all their goods?
Diplomacy in the end will prevail.